Palm Beach Off-Market Sales: The Market Behind the Hedges

Buyer Intelligence

Palm Beach Off-Market Sales: The Market Behind the Hedges

Nikko Karki
Nikko Karki August 22, 2026
Palm Beach's hedges are not a metaphor. Since 2021 the town has recorded 225 qualified house sales of $3M or more that never appeared on either of its MLS boards. They total $4.1 billion, the $155M record among them. Measuring that quiet market takes some care, because the open market itself runs on two ledgers, BeachesMLS and the town's own board, whose record we hold back to 2020. This report lays the county's deed record over both. What it finds is a shift no one has written down. At the frenzy's peak in 2021, 45 percent of the town's deed dollars moved privately. This year it is 21 percent. The open market is reclaiming the town, and the summit is the exception. Above $50M, Palm Beach still transacts almost entirely in silence.
Private sales since 2021
225
Qualified, $3M and up
Changed hands quietly
$4.1B
Off both boards entirely
Private deals at $50M+
15
58 at $20M or more
Private share, 2026
21%
Down from 45 percent at the 2021 peak

The Private Market, Measured

First, the ledgers. Most of coastal Palm Beach County trades on BeachesMLS, the big regional system. The town also keeps its own board, the Palm Beach Board of Realtors, and a listing here can sit on either one or both. We reconciled the two feeds and documented their split in our report on the town's two boards. A sale that appears on neither board, only in the county's deed record, is what this report counts as private.

Counted that way, the town splits into two markets. The open one has closed 583 qualified sales since 2021. The quiet one has closed 225. And their balance has moved in one direction since the frenzy. In 2021, at the peak, 45 percent of the town's deed dollars moved privately. It fell to 39 percent in 2022 and has slid almost every year since, to about 21 percent this year. The open market has been reclaiming Palm Beach, year over year, as the frenzy gave way to a deeper and more orderly market.

One question deserved its own answer, so we went and got it. Could the 2021 privates simply be listings our feeds missed? We exported the town board's complete closed-sale record back to October 2020 and matched every private deed against it. Nineteen deeds that a thinner record would have counted as private turned out to be town-board listings, and every share on this page reflects that correction. What remains is measured, not assumed.

Two markets, counted
Qualified single-family sales of $3M and up in the Town of Palm Beach, on a board and off both

Sources: the Palm Beach County Property Appraiser's deed record against BeachesMLS and PBBOR, with the town board's record held back to 2020, so every year is fully measured

The private share, year by year
Counts of each market and the private share of that year's deed dollars
← Scroll to see all columns →
YearOn a boardPrivatelyPrivate share of dollars
202113410045%
2022854239%
2023622537%
2024731626%
20251002319%
20261051921%

Sources: the county deed record, BeachesMLS and PBBOR, with the town board's record held back to October 2020. Share is of combined dollars

The Deals Nobody Saw

The town's great transactions live in this table, not on any portal. The $155M record of March 2023 never listed on either board, and neither did the $148M sale of June 2024. The quiet market did not end with the frenzy either. In January 2026 a North Ocean Boulevard estate closed privately at $76.7M, the largest sale of this year on any ledger. A Lake Way estate followed at $72M that same season. The frenzy's giants split between the ledgers. The $95M oceanfront deed of May 2021 and the $86M North Ocean sale of 2022 closed with no listing anywhere. The $122.7M and $109.6M sales of 2021 were listed after all, though only on the town's own board, which is its own kind of quiet.

The fourteen largest private sales since 2021
Qualified deeds with no matching closing on either board. Acreage is the county parcel record, which understates assembled holdings
← Scroll to see all columns →
AddressWhenPriceAcres
1501 N Ocean BlvdMar 2023$155M0.18
455 N County RdJun 2024$148M3.22
1341 S Ocean BlvdMay 2021$95M2.03
901 N Ocean BlvdJun 2022$86M1.13
10 Tarpon IsleJul 2021$85M2.27
260 N Ocean BlvdJan 2026$76.7M2.03
740 Hi Mount RdMar 2024$74.2M1.00
102 Jungle RdApr 2022$72.8M0.73
1460 N Lake WayDec 2025$72M0.72
905 N Ocean BlvdFeb 2021$68.4M1.14
6 Via Los IncasDec 2022$66M0.64
130 Banyan RdMay 2024$60.4M0.98
102 Angler AveJan 2026$58.4M0.56
635 Crest RdFeb 2026$57M0.89

Source: Palm Beach County Property Appraiser. No owner is named

How a Quiet Sale Happens Here

Palm Beach's private market runs on a few familiar situations, handled discreetly. An estate settles, and the family prefers one clean transaction to a public process. A neighbor assembles the parcel behind the hedge, which is how many of the town's great compounds were built. An owner with no intention of selling receives a properly presented number and takes it. In 2021 those approaches became a flood, and owners sold to knocks on the door at a pace the boards never saw. The years since teach the opposite lesson. As the open market strengthened, more of the town chose to test it, and the private share of dollars has fallen by more than half since the peak.

For Buyers, and for Sellers

For a buyer, the top of this market simply does not advertise. Every sale above $70M in this record closed privately or began that way. Reaching those opportunities takes representation that works both boards, the deed record, and the relationships behind them. That is our daily work through our buyer services and our off-market practice. Tell us what you are looking for, in confidence. We will tell you what is quietly available.

For a seller, the record argues for testing demand rather than taking the first quiet number. The open market has strengthened five years running. A Private Exclusive lets a home meet qualified buyers inside the Compass network, with no public exposure, while that demand is measured. The record book behind this report shows what the town's discretion is worth, and our Palm Beach page keeps the running numbers.

Bottom Line

Palm Beach runs a private market behind its hedges, and we can finally put numbers on it. Since 2021 the town has closed 225 qualified quiet sales worth $4.1 billion, the $155M record among them. The trend runs one way: 45 percent of deed dollars moved privately at the 2021 peak and about 21 percent does now. A strong open market keeps winning sellers back. The summit never joined the trend. Above $50M, silence still rules.

For anyone serious about the town: Work from the whole record, and say what you want to someone who reads it daily. The best of this market answers only direct, discreet questions.

A private sale here means a specific thing. The Palm Beach County Property Appraiser marks the deed qualified. It is recorded from January 2021 through August 2026 on a single-family parcel in the Town of Palm Beach at three million dollars or more. And no closing matches it on BeachesMLS or the Palm Beach Board of Realtors MLS within sixty days and five percent of price, matched on street number and street name. Non-market transfers are excluded by the county's qualification. Board coverage matters to the shares, so the town board's complete closed-sale record, exported back to October 2020, is folded into the open-market side. Every year's private share is fully measured, and nineteen deeds a thinner record would have counted private are classified as town-board sales instead.

Acreage is the county parcel record, and assemblages sometimes record on a single small parcel, so parcel acreage can understate a holding. South Palm Beach and townhouse enclaves are excluded. No owner, buyer, seller or agent is named, and addresses appear only as the public record shows them.

Palm Beach County Property Appraiser, qualified sales record, 2021 through August 2026.

BeachesMLS via Flexmls, closed sales, 2021 through August 2026.

Palm Beach Board of Realtors MLS, closed sales export, October 2020 through August 2026.

Palm Beach Luxury, The Palm Beach Record Book, September 2026.

Nikko Karki
Written by

Nikko Karki

Nikko Karki holds an M.Sc. in economics from Helsinki School of Economics and has been in real estate for nearly two decades. He spent his early career on the developer side at Related Group in West Palm Beach, running the analysis behind the region's largest luxury projects. He has since worked on residential, commercial, and hospitality projects across the U.S., Europe, and Southeast Asia. He built this platform so that buyers and sellers could have better real estate outcomes through better analysis, for free.
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Frequently Asked Questions
It depends on the altitude, and on the year you measure. At the frenzy's peak in 2021, about 45 percent of deed dollars moved privately, measured with the town board's own record held back to 2020. The share has fallen almost every year since and runs near 21 percent in 2026. At the top the retreat never happened: ten of the town's fifteen largest sales since 2021 were private, and 15 quiet deals have closed at $50M or more.
Yes. The town's record since 2021 is a $155M deed recorded in March 2023 with no listing on either board. The next tier is just as quiet: $148M in 2024 and $122.7M in 2021, both private. The highest open-market sale is $152M for Tarpon Isle in May 2024, and even that estate had changed hands privately for $85M three years earlier.
The record cannot answer that directly, because private deals and listed deals involve different properties in different condition. What the record does show is direction. The open market has strengthened for five straight years while the measured private share roughly halved. Sellers who test demand, privately or publicly, negotiate against a deeper market than the first quiet offer reflects. At the summit, privacy is usually about discretion and certainty, not price.
Through preparation and a proper approach. Most private sellers here are estates settling, neighbors assembling, or owners who will sell at their number without ever wanting a listing. Reaching them takes an agent who works both boards and the deed record, knows which owners will listen, and can present a credible buyer discreetly. Start by telling us what you are looking for, in confidence, and we will tell you what is quietly available and what the record says it should cost.
Palm Beach Luxury

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