One Street, Six Prices: North Flagler, Building by Building

New Developments

One Street, Six Prices: North Flagler, Building by Building

Nikko Karki
Nikko Karki November 5, 2026
The most consequential street in Palm Beach County real estate right now is two miles of North Flagler Drive. The city’s largest sale of the year, $20.1 million for a new waterfront house, closed here in September. Alba delivered the corridor’s first new tower in a generation and recorded nine resales in its first year. Behind them, 566 announced residences are under way or on paper, from Shorecrest to Olara to the Ritz-Carlton, with Mandarin Oriental closing the decade in Northwood. This piece prices the whole street from its record: 25 closings in the past year, from $453 a foot at the old co-ops to $2,884 at the top.
Closings This Year
25
$1M and up on North Flagler
The Street's Record
$20.1M
A 2024-built waterfront house
The Per-Foot Spread
6x
$453 to $2,884, one street
Announced Residences
566
Four projects through 2031

The Street's Year, on the Record

Twenty-five sales closed at $1 million and up along North Flagler in the twelve months through October 2026, and they tell the corridor’s story in four products. The waterfront houses set the top: the $20.1 million record is a 2024 build, and a 1948 house at 3208 cleared $2,884 a foot, the street’s highest rate.

The Ten Largest Closings of the Past Year
Recorded sales on North Flagler Drive at $1 million and up, November 2025 through October 2026. Twenty-five closed in all.
← Scroll to see all columns →
AddressClosedPrice$/SFBuilt
2914 N Flagler DriveSep 2026$20.12M$2,1132024
4714 N Flagler Drive TH-C-301Jul 2026$10.44M$2,3362026
3208 N Flagler DriveFeb 2026$10.11M$2,8841948
622 N Flagler Drive 801Dec 2025$6.50M$1,2182003
1017 N Flagler DriveJan 2026$5.95M$9082007
400 N Flagler Drive PH C6Feb 2026$5.50M$1,8971981
400 N Flagler Drive 2201Apr 2026$4.20M$1,5871981
4714 N Flagler Drive 1402Jul 2026$3.95M$2,1172026
4714 N Flagler Drive 1202Sep 2026$3.90M$2,0872026
4714 N Flagler Drive 902Jun 2026$3.70M$1,9832025

Source: BeachesMLS closed sales, deduplicated against county records. Pulled November 3, 2026.

The record deserves its own line. The house at 2914 is a 2024 build on the open water, and it sold for more than the whole top floor of most towers on this list. One street now carries the city’s house record and its densest condo pipeline at once.

Alba’s stack is the live benchmark for every tower on paper. Nine first-year resales ran $1,362 to $2,336 a foot, and three went under contract within a week. Our Alba ledger prices each one.

Price Discovery: Closed Against Asked

The paper towers priced themselves inside the street’s own record. Olara and the Ritz-Carlton publish ranges that sit squarely between the 1981 tower’s closings and Alba’s, which is the discount for waiting stated in per-foot terms.

Price Discovery on One Street
Recorded tower per-foot ranges, with the 2028 pipeline's published asking range at right. The paper box is asking prices, not closings. The four houses, $505 to $2,884, span the whole chart and sit in the ledger above.
Per-foot ranges along North Flagler0 / ft1,000 / ft2,000 / ft3,000 / ftOlder towers, 1990-2007six sales1218453400 N Flagler, 1981six sales1897946Alba, 2026nine sales233613622028 pipeline, askingOlara + Ritz asks27201050Per-foot ranges along North Flagler01,0002,0003,000Oldersix sales1,218453400 NFsix sales1,897946Alba2,3361,362Paper2,7201,050
  • Older · 1218
  • Older · 453
  • 400 · 1897
  • 400 · 946
  • Alba · 2336
  • Alba · 1362
  • Paper · 2720
  • Paper · 1050

Closed figures: BeachesMLS, deduplicated, trailing twelve months. Pipeline figures: developer-published ranges, November 2026.

The comparison is simple. A buyer paying Alba’s rate gets a standing building and a recorded market. A buyer signing at the paper floor is being paid roughly $300 a foot to carry three years of schedule risk.

What Is Coming, and When

Four projects add 598 residences to the corridor’s own two miles: Shorecrest in 2027, then Olara and the Ritz-Carlton together in 2028, then Mandarin Oriental in Northwood in 2031. The 2028 pairing alone is 413 homes, nearly eight times what Alba just delivered.

The Corridor's Calendar
Announced North Flagler and Northwood residences by delivery year. Alba's 55 delivered in 2026.

Developer-announced schedules, November 2026. Years slip.

Our county delivery calendar sets this against every other corridor, and the Bristol pipeline study frames what a wave this size has meant across town.

How to Read the Corridor

For a buyer the street now offers every risk level at once. The recorded market runs from the One Watermark Place tier through Alba, the paper market runs from Olara to the Ritz-Carlton, and the houses trade above both.

For an owner in Northwood or the older towers, the wave is the event. New construction resets the street’s reference rate roughly a thousand dollars a foot above the old stock, and the gap is where the next five years of repricing lives.

Bottom Line

North Flagler closed 25 sales at $1 million and up this past year. The spread ran six-fold from the old co-ops to the top print, with the city record among them. Four announced projects add 598 residences through 2031, and their published ranges sit inside the street's own recorded range. The corridor is pricing its future off a record it has already set.

For anyone weighing paper against standing product here: Price the asking number against Alba's closed stack, not the rendering. The street already tells you what delivered new construction is worth.

Closed figures are BeachesMLS recorded sales on North Flagler Drive at $1 million and up for the twelve months through October 2026, deduplicated against county records.

Pipeline counts, delivery years and asking ranges are developer-reported figures read November 3, 2026. Schedules slip and asks move. Treat every pipeline figure as an ask.

Product groups: the 1981 tower is 400 N Flagler Drive. Older towers span 1990 to 2007 builds including One Watermark Place. Alba is 4714 N Flagler Drive, and houses are single-family closings on the drive.

BeachesMLS recorded closings via our licensed feed.

Developer sales materials for Shorecrest, Olara, the Ritz-Carlton Residences and Mandarin Oriental, November 2026.

Nikko Karki
Written by

Nikko Karki

Nikko Karki has worked in real estate for nearly two decades, beginning on the developer side at Related Group in West Palm Beach, then through private real estate investments and cross-border M&A across the U.S., Europe, and Southeast Asia. He holds an M.Sc. in economics from the Helsinki School of Economics. He built Palm Beach Luxury to make his analysis available to anyone in the market, for free.
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Frequently Asked Questions
A 2024-built waterfront house at 2914 N Flagler Drive closed at $20.12 million in September 2026, about $2,113 a foot. It was West Palm Beach's largest recorded sale of the trailing year.
Four projects are announced. Shorecrest brings 98 residences in 2027, Olara 275 and the Ritz-Carlton 138 follow in 2028, and Mandarin Oriental adds 87 in Northwood in 2031. Alba's 55 residences delivered in 2026 and already trade as resales.
The recorded range this past year ran $453 a foot at the older co-ops to $2,336 at Alba's townhome, with the 1981 tower at 400 N Flagler between them. Pipeline asking ranges publish between $1,050 and $2,720 a foot.
The street offers both answers: Alba's recorded resales price what delivered new construction is worth today, and the 2028 paper asks sit below that rate as compensation for schedule risk. Price any contract against the closed record, not the rendering.
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